Bangladesh Election And Insurgency in North East India

Bangladesh is no longer safe heaven for NE millitants

Indian security agencies are apprehensive of North East insurgent groups trying to re-establish after general election in Bangladsh next year if not-so-friendly government comes to power. Bangladesh can be credited with India’s successful split of ULFA, one of the most powerful and famous insurgent group in North East India.

Bangladesh authorities had ‘pushed back’ ULFA chairman Arabind Rajkhowa along with many others through its border posts to India who were promptly arrested by Indian authorities. Apart from many ULFA cadres, leaders from Manipur insurgents too were similarly pushed back to India as India and Bangladesh does not have an extradition treaty. These arrangements worked as Bangladesh elected pro-India party Awami League in 2008.
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Indian PM recent visit to Myanmar and Insurgents in North East

After 25 years, an Indian PM visited Myanmar when Dr. Manmohan Singh visited its eastern neighbour Myanmar on 27 May 2012. During the visit, he even met Aung San Suu Kyi, opposition leader, and Nobel Peace Prize winner who had spent years in house arrest as she led pro-democracy agitation for decades.

With recent, opening up of Myanmar to the democratic world after facing sanction from western countries led by USA, this visit by an Indian PM is significant and timely. As expected, Indian PM could get assurance from Myanmar government a promise which says, Myanmar will not allow North Eastern insurgents group to establish and operate training camp in Myanmar.
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Maoists-Police Encounter in Assam

Which seems to be first of its kind, a confirmed encounter between Assam Police and Maoists insurgents had taken place today in which four Maoists have been reportedly killed while one Police person was also injured seriously.
Though, not much details is unknown, the encounter took place at Deopani Borgara in Sadia in Upper Assam bordering Arunachal PRadesh. Large quanitites of arms and ammunition is also recovered.

There have been many reports about Maoists establishing its Revolutionary People’s Guerrilla Army in Assam to fight the government.
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Will China resurrect insurgency in North East India ?

Recent reports in news papers suggest that, anti-talks factions of insurgent groups are forging ties with each other and China is acting as chief interlocutor among them. With recent reverses by China at international levels by India, we had opined that China might step up ‘Insurgency in North East India’ card very soon.

It may be mentioned that, around 1600 cadres of nine insurgent groups have laid down arms recently in Assam. ULFA has also suffered great setback recently due to formal divisions among its top ranks and Paresh Barua Led anti-talk factions constituting new central body.
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North East Insurgency at crossroads ?

Indian government has been actively pursuing multi-pronged strategy to contain insurgency and separatism in North East India for long and finally, it seems to be bearing fruit. Indian government has engaged Military Junta of Myanmar, covertly helped new Bangldesh India friendly government, impressed upon Bhutan to act against North Eastern insurgents. All seem to be working.

Recent announcements by both Bhutan government and Myanmar government about not allowing its soil to use militant activities against India has been testimony to it. Bangladesh had almost completely dismantled ULFA infrastructure and arrested its top leaders.
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Visit of Hillary Clinton to Myanmar: How will it affect North East India ?

Hillary Clinton, the Secretary of State of United States of America would be visiting Myanmar on first and second December 2011, a first in last 50 years. This visit is creating lot of buzz in the international circle and China is observing this recent development in Myanmar with keen interest.

China has been the only friend Myanmar had for last many years. But recently, ruling military Junta n Yangon has opened up to the world. It has also warmed up to India and Vietnam, which are traditionally seen as rival to China and both countries have border dispute with China.
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Paresh Barua in China : Government of India

According to Assam Tribune report, Home Ministry at the central government of has concrete evidence of the presence of anti-talk faction leader Paresh Barua is in Yunnan province of China. According to the report, there are only handful of ULFA cadres with Paresh Barua in China.
Sources pointed out that over the years, China has been denying the fact that the ULFA leader used to visit that country often. But this time, the Government of India has concrete evidence of the presence of Baruah in the Yunan province.
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Preliminary talks held between ULFA and Government: Peace in Assam ?

Preliminary talks held between pro-talk ULFA ( United Liberation Front of Asom) leaders and representative of Government of India and Government of Assam was held yesterday which lasted 90 minutes at North Block, New Delhi on Wednesday, 25th October 2011.

As per report, Pro-Talk ULFA was represented by ‘chairman’ Arabinda Rajkhowa, Foreign Secretary Shashadhar Choudhuri while Government of India was represented by union home secretary R.K. Singh and Jishnu Barua led government of Assam along with other top home ministry officials.
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